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10月16日 我喜欢的狗狗 古牧 ![]() 怎么会有这么好笑的注释... 特 征:全身被着卷毛,外表看不到脸,有尾巴。刚出生的幼犬,应在出生后二至三天内断尾。以侧对步步行,体形呈箱形,体高与体长几乎相同。全身被毛柔软弯曲,头大而圆,被长毛遮住脸面,无尾,走路摇摇晃晃,模样十分可爱。不动的时候,常被当做绒毛玩具。他的眼睛被毛覆盖着,不是很管用。据说走路经常会撞到柱子啊什么的。好奇的人经常会有扒开他脸上的毛,看看他眼睛长什么样的想法。 St. Bernard 很伟大的狗狗 圣伯纳犬,原产丹麦,在瑞士也有悠久的历史。圣伯纳犬是超大型犬,个性十分温顺,容易亲近,它忠于主人,喜欢与小孩在一起,适合与小孩做伴,对小朋友十分宽容。容易训练,擅长救生,能适应寒冷的气候。 比熊犬 Bichon Frise 卷毛比熊犬是一种娇小的,强健的白色粉扑型的狗,具有欢快的气质,他的气质从他羽毛般欢快地卷在背后的尾巴和好奇的眼神中就能体现出来。 ![]() ![]() WEST HIGHLAND WHITE TERRIER 西高地白梗 西高地白梗。幼犬和短嘴贵宾幼犬,比熊幼犬非常相似,基本上分不出区别。但是他们有非常明显的性格差异。不像贵宾听话,也不想比熊有亲和力,西高一直都是非常自恋非常自傲的犬类。 ![]() ![]() 一只被遗弃的哈巴狗在路边等待主人时被拍到,此后被誉为世界上最忧伤的狗。 照片上的这只名叫“纽曼先生”的小狗坐在人行道上,被拴在路边的一根灯柱上,看上去很伤心。 ![]() ![]() ![]() ****** ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() 10月13日 440 miles apart - to my dearest home 世间这样荒芜. 寂静深不可测. 如果你不在我身边. 我这样想念你. I'm 440 miles away from you but my heart can never leave 10月28日 zz from Xiaoxian's blog老外学中文的笔记:Dear Tim, 10月24日 pieces from Greenspan's Discussion of 'Credit Tsunami'A necessary condition for this crisis to end is the stabilization of the home prices in the US. They will stablize and clarify the level of equity in the US homes, the ultimate collateral support for the value of much of the world mortgage-back securities.
To avoid severe retrenchment, banks and other financial intermediaries will need the support that only the substitution of solvent credit for private credit can bestow.
The breakdown is most apparent in securitization of home mortgages.
Without the access demand from securitizers, subprime mortgage originations are deniably the original sources of the crisis.
But with US home prices still rising, delinquency and foreclosure rate were deceptively modest. Losses were minimal to the most sophisticated investors in the world.
The consequences surge in global demand for US subprime securities by banks, hedge, and pension funds. Demand became so aggressive that too many securitizers and lenders believe they could create and sell mortgage-back securities so quickly that they never put their shareholder's capital at risk, and hence did not have the incentive to evaluate the credit quality of what they were selling. Purchasing of these toxic assets has let to huge losses. It was the failure to properly price such risk assets that precipitated the crisis.
The data put into the risk management models only covered only the past two decades. Instead if the model has been fed more properly by the historical period of stress, capital requirement would have been much higher, and the financial world would have been in a far better shape today in Greenspan's adjugement. In this financial environment I see no choice, Greenspan says, but to require all securitizers retain a meaningful part of the securities they issue. This will offset in part the market defficiencies stumming from the failures of counterparty surveillance. Regulatory changes in fraud settlement and securitization are important in order to retain stability.
The financial landscape at the end of the crisis will be far more different from the one entered it a little more than a year ago. Investors will be exceptionally cautious. Structured investment vehicles, all day mortgages, and other exotic financial instruments are not now and unlikely ever find willing buyers. Regretfully, also on that list are there subprime mortgages. The market for which has virtually disappeared. Home and small business ownership are vital commitments to a community. We should seek ways to re-establish a more sustainalbe subprime mortgage market. This crisis will pass, and the America will re-emerge with a far sounder financial system. 10月23日 zz 自bluestar的博客“表面我们的确光鲜,相爱着而且幸福着,打个不要脸的比方,就像天鹅。游在水面上的 天 鹅从容优雅,不时会引来别人的赞叹和羡慕,但在别人看不到的水下,一双脚蹼在拼命地 不停划水,动作难看又狼狈,并且,越是拥有完美的水上动作,水下就会越拼命,于是越 难看。而一旦停止了这份拼命,水上的优雅也立刻不在。 其实生活真正的主旋律,就是这双拼命蹬着,难看又狼狈的脚蹼,因为没有它们的拼命, 就不会有现在我自认为幸福的生活。但他们却被隐藏了起来,只看到水上优雅从容的人们 ,很难想象水下的样子——当然,这是因为我没有全部记录我们的拼命,难看和狼狈。” 10月21日 how human beings would pull through the three crisesLet's see how we are gonna proceed. See the two articles below.
Europe’s Leadership in Carbon Control at Risk in Credit CrisisEurope’s Leadership in Carbon Control at Risk in Credit Crisis
Martin Meissner/Associated Press
Some countries in Europe are coal dependent and potentially face higher costs under a system that caps carbon dioxide emissions. By JAMES KANTER
Published: October 20, 2008
BRUSSELS — Europe’s role as a global leader in combating climate change risks becoming the next victim of the global financial crisis. As the threats of global recession and rising unemployment loom after the expensive bank bailouts, some European leaders are demanding that the trade bloc backpedal on a pledge announced with much fanfare last spring to cut greenhouse emissions by 20 percent and to generate 20 percent of power through renewable sources by 2020. At a meeting Monday in Luxembourg, the Italian environment minister, Stefania Prestigiacomo, warned that her country had “many requests for changes,” and would support turning the potentially expensive pledge into law only if the issue could be reviewed again next year. That follows threats by the leaders of Italy, Poland, Latvia and others at the European Union meeting last week in Brussels to veto the measures unless they were softened. The French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, has pushed European leaders to stick to the deadline of December. That is when negotiations are scheduled to begin about extending beyond 2012 global efforts to cut greenhouse gases under the Kyoto climate treaty. “There is now a greater possibility that the E.U. misses a deadline it set for itself,” Yvo de Boer, the executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, said Monday. “That would call into question Europe’s willingness to back up an offer that was applauded by the whole world with specific policies.” European leaders left the meeting last week saying that they would need unanimity to push forward. Meanwhile, the American presidential election is likely to make the United States’ policy on climate change more proactive. That could further diminish the global influence that Europeans have so far been able to claim. “We should not rule out that at some stage whoever becomes president may have completely new ideas,” said Christian Egenhofer, an energy and climate specialist at the Center for European Policy Studies in Brussels. “If the E.U. doesn’t have its policies in place it could be a very weak discussion partner.” Some energy specialists say that European policy makers seriously misunderstood how difficult it would be to transform the energy sector. Thomas Schneider, a member of IEEE, a professional association for the advancement of technology, said that some of the most direct ways to lower carbon dioxide would be to deploy large numbers of windmills and nuclear power plants. But he warned that even under the most promising timelines, that would be difficult for Europe to achieve by 2020. “The financial crisis has exacerbated the issue of how Europe would meet its targets,” Mr. Schneider said, “but this is mainly an engineering problem.” Even before the credit squeeze became a full-fledged banking crisis, European countries were displaying different levels of enthusiasm for the emissions measures. On one side are Poland and other coal-dependent nations in Eastern Europe, as well as Italy. These countries face potentially higher costs under a system that caps carbon dioxide emissions from heavy industry, as introduced in 2005. Some countries also say that they are being asked to do too much too quickly in areas of renewable energy and energy efficiency. On the other side is France, which uses nuclear sources to generate most of its power, and Britain, which favors climate regulation, partly because it has become a hub for trading permits to emit carbon dioxide. Also favoring regulation are the Dutch and most Nordic countries, which have successfully installed several initiatives to replace fossil fuel-fired power with renewable sources of energy. Officials in Brussels warn that signs of a weakening commitment by European leaders to fighting climate change could start a chain reaction, lowering ambitions among other central players, like China and India. The resolve of some developing countries to participate in a global climate deal could also weaken if they expect that a strapped Europe will become stingier. The European system to control emissions is based on the sale of permits to emit carbon that are worth billions of euros. Under the planned overhaul of the system, industries would have to pay for a substantially larger portion of those permits. Revenue would most likely be earmarked for European governments, but some funds could go toward helping developing countries combat climate change. Mr. de Boer, the United Nations climate official, said that developing nations had already made it clear that they expected more financial support in exchange for becoming part of a global agreement on climate change. Alternative Energy Suddenly Faces HeadwindsAlternative Energy Suddenly Faces Headwinds
George Frey/Bloomberg News
Wind turbines in operation at a wind farm owned by Edison Mission Group outside Spanish Fork, Utah. Published: October 20, 2008
HOUSTON — For all the support that the presidential candidates are expressing for renewable energy, alternative energies like wind and solar are facing big new challenges because of the credit freeze and the plunge in oil and natural gas prices. Shares of alternative energy companies have fallen even more sharply than the rest of the stock market in recent months. The struggles of financial institutions are raising fears that investment capital for big renewable energy projects is likely to get tighter. Advocates are concerned that if the prices for oil and gas keep falling, the incentive for utilities and consumers to buy expensive renewable energy will shrink. That is what happened in the 1980s when a decade of advances for alternative energy collapsed amid falling prices for conventional fuels. “Everyone is in shock about what the new world is going to be,” said V. John White, executive director of the Center for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Technology, a California advocacy group. “Surely, renewable energy projects and new technologies are at risk because of their capital intensity.” Senator Barack Obama and Senator John McCain both promise ambitious programs to develop various kinds of alternative energy to combat global warming and achieve energy independence. Mr. Obama talks of creating five million new jobs in renewable energy and nearly tripling the percentage of the nation’s electricity supplied by renewables by 2025. Mr. McCain has run television advertisements showing wind turbines and has pledged to make the United States the “leader in a new international green economy.” But after years of rapid growth, the sudden headwinds facing renewables point to slowing momentum and greater dependence on government subsidies, mandates and research financing, at a time when Washington is overloaded with economic problems. John Woolard, chief executive officer of BrightSource Energy, a solar company, said he believed the long-term future for renewables remained promising, though “right now we are looking at tumultuous and unpredictable capital markets.” Venture capital financing for some advanced solar projects and for experimental biofuels, like ethanol made from plant wastes, is drying up, according to analysts who track investment flows. At least two wind energy companies have had to delay projects in recent days because of trouble raising capital. Several corn ethanol projects have been delayed for lack of financing in Iowa and Oklahoma since last month, and one plant operator in Ohio filed for bankruptcy protection last week. Tesla Motors, the maker of battery-powered cars, recently announced it had been forced to delay production of its all-electric Model S sedan, close two offices and lay off workers. Investment analysts say initial and secondary stock offerings by clean energy companies across global markets have slowed to a crawl since the spring, and for the full year could total less than half of the record $25.4 billion for 2007. Worldwide project financings for new construction of wind, solar, biofuels and other alternative energy projects this year fell to $17.8 billion in the third quarter, from $23.2 billion in the second quarter, according to New Energy Finance, a research firm in London. The slide is expected to be sharper in the fourth quarter and next year. In the United States, financing for new projects and venture capital and private equity investments in renewable energy this year might still top last year’s results because so much money was in the pipeline at the beginning of the year, but the pace has slowed sharply in the last month. The next presidential administration, to make good on campaign rhetoric and continue supporting renewables, will have to choose alternative energy over other programs at a time of ballooning deficits. Analysts say that is no sure thing. “Government funding for renewables is now going to have to compete with levels of government funding in other areas that were unimaginable six months ago,” Mark Flannery, an energy analyst for Credit Suisse, said. The central questions facing renewables now, experts say, are how long credit will be tight and how low oil and natural gas prices will fall. Oil and gas are still relatively expensive by historical standards, but the prices have fallen by half since July. Some economists expect further declines as the economy weakens.
Wall Street analysts say most utilities and other builders can profitably choose big wind projects over gas-fired plants only when gas prices are $8 per thousand cubic feet or higher. Natural gas settled Monday at about $6.79 per thousand cubic feet, down from about $13.58 on July 3.
“Natural gas at $6 makes wind look like a questionable idea and solar powerunfathomably expensive,” said Kevin Book, a senior vice president at FBR Capital Markets.
Government mandates already on the books, including state rules requiring renewable power generation and federal requirements for production of ethanol, ensure that to some degree, alternative energy markets will continue to exist no matter how low oil and gas prices go. But thecredit crisis means some companies that would like to build facilities to meet that demand are going to have problems. “If you can’t borrow money, you can’t develop renewables,” Mr. Book said.
Renewable energy now meets 7 percent of the nation’s energy needs, and public subsidies have promoted a leap for several alternative energy sources in recent years.
Ethanol is sold nationwide as a gasoline additive, and federal legislation aims to replace a major share of the oil now imported into the United States with domestically produced biofuels in the next 15 years. Enough new wind power was installed in the United States to serve the equivalent of 4.5 million households in 2007, the third year in a row the country led all nations in new wind power.
Renewable energy has become a big business worldwide, with total investment increasing to $148.4 billion last year, from $33.4 billion in 2004, according to Ethan Zindler, head of North American research at New Energy Finance. Mr. Zindler said the upward momentum had halted, and that total investment this year was likely to be lower than last.
In the 1970s, just as in recent years, high prices for fossil fuels led to rising interest in renewables. But when oil prices collapsed in the 1980s, the nascent market for renewable energy fell apart, too. Congress eliminated tax credits for solar energy, ethanol could not compete with cheap gasoline and a wind farm boomlet in California failed to catch on in the rest of the country.
The epicenter of investment and development moved to Europe, with its strong government support for renewables, and began shifting back only when heating oil and natural gas prices shot up again in recent years.
There are some differences this time. Coal, another major competitor of renewables, remains expensive and is facing increasing scrutiny over environmental concerns.
Most important, renewable energy entrepreneurs and experts say, is the growing government and public backing for renewable energy in the United States.
“What is driving the market this time is that we’re at war and this is a security issue,” said Arnold R. Klann, chief executive of BlueFire Ethanol, a California company that is planning to make ethanol out of garbage with the help of $40 million in financing from the Energy Department.
In its recent financial rescue package, Congress provided $17 billion in tax credits to promote various forms of clean power, for everything from plug-in electric vehicles to projects that will capture and store carbon dioxide from coal-burning power plants. Production and investment tax credits were extended for wind energy for one year, geothermal energy for two years and for solar energy for a full eight years.
Meanwhile more than 30 states have enacted standards demanding that utilities generate a minimum proportion — typically 10 to 20 percent — of their power from renewable sources in the next 5 to 10 years.
But some analysts say the government supports may not be enough to propel continued growth for renewables, noting that several states have already relaxed their goals.
“When they can’t meet their targets,” Mr. Book said, “they change them.” 10月20日 Green Policies in California Generated Jobs, Study FindsGreen Policies in California Generated Jobs, Study FindsPublished: October 20, 2008
OAKLAND, Calif. — California’s energy-efficiency policies created nearly 1.5 million jobs from 1977 to 2007, while eliminating fewer than 25,000, according to a study to be released Monday. The study, conducted by David Roland-Holst, an economist at the Center for Energy, Resources and Economic Sustainability at the University of California, Berkeley, found that while the state’s policies lowered employee compensation in the electric power industry by an estimated $1.6 billion over that period, it improved compensation in the state over all by $44.6 billion. Built into that figure were increases of $1.2 billion in the light industrial sector, $11.2 billion in wholesale and retail trade, $7.3 billion in the financial and insurance sectors and $17.8 billion in the service sector. “Consumers were able to reduce energy spending,” the study said, adding that “these savings were diverted to other demand.” “When consumers shift one dollar of demand from electricity to groceries,” the report said, they create jobs among retailers, wholesalers, food processors and other businesses. The study, which examined household spending, comes as state and regional initiatives on climate-change policies have been gathering momentum. At the same time, arguments have sharpened over how much it will cost the economy to cut the emission of greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide produced by burning fossil fuels, which are linked to climate change. Roughly half the country’s electric power is generated by burning coal, the fuel that produces among the highest greenhouse-gas emissions of any in widespread use. Some economists focus their studies on the cost of converting the power grid to run on low-carbon technologies, like wind energy, or the cost of developing technologies to separate the carbon dioxide from coal-plant emissions and bury it underground. Others focus on the job creating potential of new energy industries. The Berkeley study is different in that it focuses as much on historical data as on modeling the future. California’s energy-efficiency policies were adopted in 1978, long before the widespread push for greenhouse-gas reductions, but the data they provide is highly relevant to the current economic debate. Professor Roland-Holst said that he based his calculations on residential spending on electricity over the last 30 years, factoring in both the decrease in per-capita demand for electricity — now 40 percent below the national average — and the increase in California’s electrical rates, which were about 40 percent above the national average in June, the latest month for which data is available. Household spending represents more than 70 percent of the gross state product. Historically, Professor Roland-Holst said, the decrease in per-capita demand for electricity outstripped the increase in rates. Much of the economic growth, the study said, was driven by both efficiency standards for large appliances like refrigerators and for residential and commercial buildings. In an interview, Professor Roland-Holst said, “What I wanted to do to support the forward-looking vision is go back and look at the evidence we have in front of us.” In two months, California is set to adopt broad policies to enforce a new cap on greenhouse gas emissions signed into law two years ago. More detailed regulations will then be developed; that process is likely to be contentious, as it divides the overall costs of the new program among competing sectors of the state’s economy. 9月21日 旋爱一个12年的同学+好朋友分手了
她自己,她的朋友,认识他们的人都没能猜到这个结局
谁都以为他们能幸福的过一辈子
谁都没想到对她无微不至的他
会在灿烂的5年后
把爱全给了另一个人
她很相信星座
她很相信测试里说的-
"一辈子只会真爱一个人"
‘只是可惜,这份爱已经过去了’-她说
如果
只是如果
和她有着同样的星座和血型的我
注定一生只能爱一个人
是不是
我们的故事也只是生命中灿烂的焰火?
或者
如果只是做梦
醒来以后请让我失忆
请给我一个 会让我微笑的结果 9月15日 ><Lehman Files for Bankruptcy; Merrill Is SoldPublished: September 14, 2008
This article was reported by Jenny Anderson, Eric Dash and Andrew Ross Sorkin and was written by Mr. Sorkin. Skip to next paragraph
Mark Lennihan/Associated Press
A figure in a window at Lehman Brothers headquarters in New York on Monday. Times Topics: Lehman Brothers | Merrill LynchDealBook: The Struggle at LehmanStatement: Federal Reserve BoardMultimediaRelated5 Days of Pressure, Fear and Ultimately, Failure (September 16, 2008)Stunning Fall for Main Street’s Brokerage Firm (September 15, 2008)Purchase of Merrill Fulfills Quest for a Bank (September 15, 2008)Banks Fear Next Move by Shorts (September 15, 2008)Fed Loosens Standards on Emergency Loans (September 15, 2008)Add to PortfolioReaders' Comments"If you wanna hate the rich, fine, but don't think this isn't already trickling down. Here on the Upper East Side where many of the wealthiest live, stores are closing left and right."Nathan, NYC In one of the most dramatic days in Wall Street’s history, Merrill Lynch agreed to sell itself on Sunday to Bank of America for roughly $50 billion to avert a deepening financial crisis, while another prominent securities firm, Lehman Brothers, filed for bankruptcy protection and hurtled toward liquidation after it failed to find a buyer. The humbling moves, which reshape the landscape of American finance, mark the latest chapter in a tumultuous year in which once-proud financial institutions have been brought to their knees as a result of hundreds of billions of dollars in losses because of bad mortgage finance and real estate investments. But even as the fates of Lehman and Merrill hung in the balance, another crisis loomed as the insurance giant American International Group appeared to teeter. Staggered by losses stemming from the credit crisis, A.I.G. sought a $40 billion lifeline from the Federal Reserve, without which the company may have only days to survive. The stunning series of events culminated a weekend of frantic around-the-clock negotiations, as Wall Street bankers huddled in meetings at the behest of Bush administration officials to try to avoid a downward spiral in the markets stemming from a crisis of confidence. “My goodness. I’ve been in the business 35 years, and these are the most extraordinary events I’ve ever seen,” said Peter G. Peterson, co-founder of the private equity firm the Blackstone Group, who was head of Lehman in the 1970s and a secretary of commerce in the Nixon administration. It remains to be seen whether the sale of Merrill, which was worth more than $100 billion during the last year, and the controlled demise of Lehman will be enough to finally turn the tide in the yearlong financial crisis that has crippled Wall Street and threatened the broader economy. Early Monday morning, Lehman said it would file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York for its holding company in what would be the largest failure of an investment bank since the collapse of Drexel Burnham Lambert 18 years ago, the Associated Press reported. Questions remain about how the market will react Monday, particularly to Lehman’s plan to wind down its trading operations, and whether other companies, like A.I.G. and Washington Mutual, the nation’s largest savings and loan, might falter. Indeed, in a move that echoed Wall Street’s rescue of a big hedge fund a decade ago this week, 10 major banks agreed to create an emergency fund of $70 billion to $100 billion that financial institutions can use to protect themselves from the fallout of Lehman’s failure. The Fed, meantime, broadened the terms of its emergency loan program for Wall Street banks, a move that could ultimately put taxpayers’ money at risk. Though the government took control of the troubled mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac only a week ago, investors have become increasingly nervous about whether major financial institutions can recover from their losses. How things play out could affect the broader economy, which has been weakening steadily as the financial crisis has deepened over the last year, with unemployment increasing as the nation’s growth rate has slowed. What will happen to Merrill’s 60,000 employees or Lehman’s 25,000 employees remains unclear. Worried about the unfolding crisis and its potential impact on New York City’s economy, Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg canceled a trip to California to meet with Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. Instead, aides said, Mr. Bloomberg spent much of the weekend working the phones, talking to federal officials and bank executives in an effort to gauge the severity of the crisis. The weekend that humbled Lehman and Merrill Lynch and rewarded Bank of America, based in Charlotte, N.C., began at 6 p.m. Friday in the first of a series of emergency meetings at the Federal Reserve building in Lower Manhattan. The meeting was called by Fed officials, with Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. in attendance, and it included top bankers. The Treasury and Federal Reserve had already stepped in on several occasions to rescue the financial system, forcing a shotgun marriage between Bear Stearns and JPMorgan Chase this year and backstopping $29 billion worth of troubled assets — and then agreeing to bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The bankers were told that the government would not bail out Lehman and that it was up to Wall Street to solve its problems. Lehman’s stock tumbled sharply last week as concerns about its financial condition grew and other firms started to pull back from doing business with it, threatening its viability. Without government backing, Lehman began trying to find a buyer, focusing on Barclays, the big British bank, and Bank of America. At the same time, other Wall Street executives grew more concerned about their own precarious situation. The fates of Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers would not seem to be linked; Merrill has the nation’s largest brokerage force and its name is known in towns across America, while Lehman’s main customers are big institutions. But during the credit boom both firms piled into risky real estate and ended up severely weakened, with inadequate capital and toxic assets. Knowing that investors were worried about Merrill, John A. Thain, its chief executive and an alumnus of Goldman Sachs and the New York Stock Exchange, and Kenneth D. Lewis, Bank of America’s chief executive, began negotiations. One person briefed on the negotiations said Bank of America had approached Merrill earlier in the summer but Mr. Thain had rebuffed the offer. Now, prompted by the reality that a Lehman bankruptcy would ripple through Wall Street and further cripple Merrill Lynch, the two parties proceeded with discussions. On Sunday morning, Mr. Thain and Mr. Lewis cemented the deal. It could not be determined if Mr. Thain would play a role in the new company, but two people briefed on the negotiations said they did not expect him to stay. Merrill’s “thundering herd” of 17,000 brokers will be combined with Bank of America’s smaller group of wealth advisers and called Merrill Lynch Wealth Management. Skip to next paragraph
Times Topics: Lehman Brothers | Merrill LynchDealBook: The Struggle at LehmanStatement: Federal Reserve BoardMultimediaRelated5 Days of Pressure, Fear and Ultimately, Failure (September 16, 2008)Stunning Fall for Main Street’s Brokerage Firm (September 15, 2008)Purchase of Merrill Fulfills Quest for a Bank (September 15, 2008)Banks Fear Next Move by Shorts (September 15, 2008)Fed Loosens Standards on Emergency Loans (September 15, 2008)Add to PortfolioJin Lee/Bloomberg News
Steve Black, co-chief of JPMorgan’s investment bank. For Bank of America, which this year bought Countrywide Financial, the troubled mortgage lender, the purchase of Merrill puts it at the pinnacle of American finance, making it the biggest brokerage house and consumer banking franchise.
Bank of America eventually pulled out of its talks with Lehman after the government refused to take responsibility for losses on some of Lehman’s most troubled real-estate assets, something it agreed to do when JP Morgan Chase bought Bear Stearns to save it from a bankruptcy filing in March. A leading proposal to rescue Lehman would have divided the bank into two entities, a “good bank” and a “bad bank.” Under that scenario, Barclays would have bought the parts of Lehman that have been performing well, while a group of 10 to 15 Wall Street companies would have agreed to absorb losses from the bank’s troubled assets, to two people briefed on the proposal said. Taxpayer money would not have been included in such a deal, they said. Other Wall Street banks also balked at the deal, unhappy at facing potential losses while Bank of America or Barclays walked away with the potentially profitable part of Lehman at a cheap price. For Lehman, the end essentially came Sunday morning when its last potential suitor, Barclays, pulled out from a deal, saying it could not obtain a shareholder vote to approve a transaction before Monday morning, something required under London Stock Exchange listing rules, one person close to the matter said. Other people involved in the talks said the Financial Services Authority, the British securities regulator, had discouraged Barclays from pursuing a deal. Peter Truell, a spokesman for Barclays, declined to comment. Lehman’s subsidiaries were expected to remain solvent while the firm liquidates its holdings, these people said. Herbert H. McDade III, Lehman’s president, was at the Federal Reserve Bank in New York late Sunday, discussing terms of Lehman’s fate with government officials. Lehman’s filing is unlikely to resemble those of other companies that seek bankruptcy protection. Because of the harsher treatment that federal bankruptcy law applies to financial-services firms, Lehman cannot hope to reorganize and survive. It was not clear whether the government would appoint a trustee to supervise Lehman’s liquidation or how big the financial backstop would be. Lehman has retained the law firm Weil, Gotshal & Manges as its bankruptcy counsel. The collapse of Lehman is a devastating end for Richard S. Fuld Jr., the chief executive, who has led the bank since it emerged from American Express as a public company in 1994. Mr. Fuld, who steered Lehman through near-death experiences in the past, spent the last several days in his 31st floor office in Lehman’s midtown headquarters on the phone from 6 a.m. until well past midnight trying to save the firm, a person close to the matter said. A.I.G. will be the next test. Ratings agencies threatened to downgrade A.I.G.’s credit rating if it does not raise $40 billion by Monday morning, a step that would cripple the company. A.I.G. had hoped to shore itself up, in party by selling certain businesses, but potential bidders, including the private investment firms Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and TPG, withdrew at the last minute because the government refused to provide a financial guarantee for the purchase. A.I.G. rejected an offer by another investor, J. C. Flowers & Company. The weekend’s events indicate that top officials at the Federal Reserve and the Treasury are taking a harder line on providing government support of troubled financial institutions. While offering to help Wall Street organize a shotgun marriage for Lehman, both the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, and Mr. Paulson had warned that they would not put taxpayer money at risk simply to prevent a Lehman collapse. The message marked a major change in strategy but it remained unclear until at least Friday what would happen. “They were faced after Bear Stearns with the problem of where to draw the line,” said Laurence H. Meyer, a former Fed governor who is now vice chairman of Macroeconomic Advisors, a forecasting firm. “It became clear that this piecemeal, patchwork, case-by-case approach might not get the job done.” Both Mr. Paulson and Mr. Bernanke worried that they had already gone much further than they had ever wanted, first by underwriting the takeover of Bear Stearns in March and by the far bigger bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Outside the public eye, Fed officials had acquired much more information since March about the interconnections and cross-exposure to risk among Wall Street investment banks, hedge funds and traders in the vast market for credit-default swaps and other derivatives. In the end, both Wall Street and the Fed blinked. 9月4日 浮躁社会里急功近利的人们 -- 惩罚篇深圳楼市下跌趋势似无法逆转 悲喜难辨
2008-09-04 16:10 来源:南方周末 没人知道这辆快车的终点在哪里,当然更没人知道该怎样下车
“很多中介到后来都不愿意把信息告诉我们投资客了,他们自己炒了。”深圳著名的投资客,外号邹大胡子的邹健民说,“这次套进去了好多中介公司的人,以前都和我合作过,听说都快撑不下去了。”邹健民是深圳炒家中的大户,曾经同时拥有四五十套房产。
沉默的还有大多数自住客。
开发商的赛跑
事实上,一年来,深圳房价这座大坝早已处处漏水,各种变相的降价行动充斥着市场。规模较小的开发商跑在最前面,它们的资金链最为脆弱,也最需要现金的回流。最初,一个名叫桑泰丹华府的楼盘高调宣称100%补偿业主楼市下跌的损失。当时,这种破坏潜规则的行为引起业界普遍的责难,深圳国土局甚至出来喊话:不支持这种行为。然而,市场的自我调节已经自行启动。 很快,嘴上不说的开发商们,手里没停。万科推出代号“琢玉”的行动,以补偿装修款的形式弥补业主们的损失。某楼盘也相应推出代号“春雷”的行动,号称要把房价一步降到位。然而,成交量的萎缩说明,相对于人们的预期而言,这样模糊的降价还远远不够。据统计,2008年1至7月,深圳房屋空置率同比上升98%,成交量也同比大幅萎缩。没人买开发商的账。
接着,一个名为佳兆业·茗萃园的楼盘声称让利优惠,房价5开头,部分房型定价为5065元每平米,已经是当时市场最低。但市场显然更愿意相信没有最低只有更低的边际理论。不久,另一楼盘在户外超大广告牌上放出了这样的广告:一个身着V字领低胸装的美女酥胸半露,神情暧昧,说明文字写在胸旁:“再低已经不可能,4开头……”
市场中的钱
不是尾声
8月6日 irresponsible暖暖阳光懒懒爬进窗
又有微醺淡淡咖啡香 恍然你又在身旁 笑容星一样明亮 打开故事书翻到下一页 你说云落泪了风会吹干它
可是风叹息又怎么安慰呢 你说就随它去吧 叫我如何放得下 候鸟会不会停留
一生算不算太久 未来有没有尽头 够不够 带我走 只想抱着你的背脊不想放
为何美的东西总叫人悲伤 只怕你每次转身 我都以为看见明天的艳阳 如果爱上你只是一个梦境
醒来后又该如何重新睡去 如果失去记忆
能否再一见钟情 能否 再一见钟情 5月29日 zzSing, like no one's listening Dance, like no one's watching Love, like you've never been hurt Live, as if heaven is on earth... Will you take me there? Sniff, with hope 2月26日 馬祖匹祖高地 之 12耕者,織者,沉默的牧人:
守護神野駱馬的馴服者: 被挑釁的絞刑台的石匠: 安底斯山淚水的持瓶者: 手指被搗碎的珠寶商: 在穀粒間顫抖的農夫: 濺灑你的黏土的陶工: 給我掙扎,鐵,火山。 讓屍體像磁鐵一樣黏住我。 來到我的血脈和我的嘴。 用我的聲音、我的血說話。 無法遺忘如果你問我上那兒去了, |
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